Oscar Predictions 2018

Can you believe how crazy this year has been for the Academy Awards? First there was that news about a “Popular Film” category being added in the middle of the year. Thankfully that didn’t happen. Then there was the whole Kevin Hart fiasco that led to the show having no host, we’ll see how that works out. Then there was the idea to not perform all the songs nominated for best song, that was a mistake. Then there was the completely asinine idea to not broadcast four awards in an attempt to save a few minutes. Thankfully, that idea was tossed out after multiple big name directors and a shit-ton of film twitter spoke out against it. #presentall24 worked! Great job, guys! We won!

Honestly, I wouldn’t mind if the Oscar ceremony lasted seven hours. I’ve complained before about having to stay up too late, especially in the years I was pregnant, but I really don’t mind. I love it. Following these films has kinda become my life’s work (if you can’t tell by this insane blog) and I would stay up all night to watch the Oscars. I say, give the world of film its one night and stop trying to cut it short.

Anyway, let’s play that one game I like where we pretend that we can only have 5 best picture nominations. Like it’s the good old days before 2009. My pick 5 would be:

The Favourite, Roma, Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman and Vice

My official predictions are…

Actor: Rami Malek

Actress: Glenn Close

Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali

Supporting Actress: Regina King

Director: Spike Lee

Original Screenplay: The Favourite

Adapted Screenplay: BlacKkKlansman

Cinematography: The Favourite

Film Editing: Vice

Production Design: Black Panther

Costume Design: Black Panther

Makeup and Hairstyling: Vice

Original Score: BlacKkKlansman

Original Song: Shallow from A Star is Born

Sound Mixing: Bohemian Rhapsody

Sound Editing: A Quiet Place

Visual Effects: Solo

Best Documentary: Free Solo

Short Documentary: Period. End of Sentence.

Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Foreign Language Film: Roma

And Best Picture? Honestly, I have no idea what The Academy will pick. The more I study the Oscars the more it seems like the actual winner of this award does not matter. Some losers become better remembered classics than most winners. Many times we can look back at a runner up and say we “weren’t ready” for the one to win. I think that’s what we’d say if Roma loses, since there’s never been a foreign language film taking home the big prize. Safe winners would be A Star is Born, Bohemian Rhapsody or Green Book. Vice is political enough  to split votes, I would be surprised if it won, but it would be cool if it did. It would be very cool if Roma, The Favourite or BlacKkKlansman won.

But in all honesty, I hope Black Panther wins. I know that sounds cheesy and what every twelve year old wants, but I don’t think that’s a bad thing. To bring such amazing diversity and empowerment to kids in superhero form is great, but to do it so amazingly well that appeals to the masses and keeps an amazing story, then hell yeah it should win. Black Panther is my personal pick for best picture. Eat your heart out, you fancy Academy voters.

Enjoy Oscar night!

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Roma

About his newest film, Roma, Alfonso Cuarón has stated, “There are periods in history that scar societies and moments in life that transform us as individuals. Time and space constrain us, but they also define who we are, creating inexplicable bonds with others that flow with us at the same time and through the same places. Roma is an attempt to capture the memory of events that I experienced almost fifty years ago.”  In Roma, we witness a year in the life of Cleo (Yalitza Aparicio). She’s a young maid to a middle class family in Mexico City, where political turmoil is brewing. Over the year, Cleo gets pregnant and together with the family faces abandonment and harrowing life and death situations.

Cuarón captures some amazing details that feel right out of an old memory. The badly-tuned marching band coming down the street, the car that can barely fit in the gated driveway, and a home full of taxidermy old dogs feel like weird snippets from childhood memories. Even the way the camera pans through the family home feels nostalgic.

One of my favorite scenes is the New Year’s Eve party that turns into a wildfire. The image of all these people outside in their party attire, holding drinks and passing buckets of water around to throw on the fire is amazing. Add in the kid in his astronaut outfit and that one guy in the big costume singing makes the whole thing feels wonderfully surreal. His singing mixed with screams as the tree falls one of the best moments of the film.

I feel a need to warn readers of one of the most intensely heartbreaking moments I have ever seen in film. ***Spoiler Alert*** The scene depicts Cleo giving birth to a stillborn baby. The camera unflinchingly captures the whole scene in one long shot, which I’ve heard was only done once and with real doctors for authenticity. It is so very authentic and as a mother to two young children it is heart wrenching. I was shocked and so upset by the scene that I had to pause the film until I had stopped sobbing. I’m so glad this was on Netflix so I didn’t cause a scene in a theater. Never has a film made me cry so hard, ever.

Roma is nominated for an astounding ten Academy Awards. These include best foreign language film, cinematography, original screenplay, production design, sound editing, sound mixing and Best Picture. Yalitza Aparicio, who has never acted before is nominated for best actress. Marina de Tavira is nominated for best supporting actress. And Cuarón has earned his second nomination for best director.

The roles of men and women in Roma are drastically different. The men, mainly Antonio and Fermin, abandon their families. Antonio is so clueless that his own children see him out running the streets with his mistress. And Fermin is so heartless he cruelly tells Cleo to leave him alone and is part of the riot that breaks out. It’s awful to see him pointing a gun at his unborn child. Whereas, the roles of women are to keep order in the face of all this chaos. Cleo keeps house and gets ready for a baby. Sofia keeps her family together. And in the climatic beach scene, Cleo saves two of the children, despite not being able to swim. I think it’s easy to see Cuarón respects the women in his life who have faced so much adversity.

“We are alone. No matter what they tell you, we women are always alone.”

Black Panther

Like many film enthusiasts, I enjoy the Marvel films with their colorful array of superheroes, out of this world adventures and big budget effects. They’re not always my favorite, but they are a fun escape. When I saw Black Panther I knew this was so much more than a simple superhero film. Never before have I seen such a fun and energetic Afrocentric film. This was a wake up to how immersive, thoughtful and dynamic a superhero film can be.

In Black Panther, Prince T’Challa (Chadwick Bosman) becomes king of Wakanda, his technologically advanced home hidden in the African jungles. His role as king comes with super powers given to him by a special herb grown by his people, and some amazing tech created by his little sister, Shuri (Letitia Wright). She’s like the Q to his 007 while keeping a playful sibling dynamic, I love their scenes together. T’Challa finds a chance to prove himself when intelligence learns the whereabouts of an old enemy, Klaue (Andy Serkis). But when the mission doesn’t go as planned, the secrets of Wakanda become compromised and an outsider comes in to challenge T’Challa for the throne.

Just like Wakanda is hidden and isolated from the world, Black Panther feels very isolated from the rest of the Marvel Universe. While watching this film, I’m not waiting for Tony Stark to drop in, nor do I want him to. When Stan Lee makes his cameo it’s nearly out of place, and a fun reminder that this is a Marvel movie. Black Panther is very much it’s own action adventure proudly displaying its unique culture, style, rules and values.

One of the most powerful struggles in this film is not the physical struggles we see between T’Challa and Killmonger or the epic battle that breaks out, but a moral question. T’Challa knows Wakanda is strong and has more than enough resources, but should he share them with the world, or keep them hidden as past kings have done? W’Kabi warns T’Challa, “You let the refugees in, they bring their problems with them, and then Wakanda is like everywhere else.” What it really comes down to is whether to honor tradition or do what is moral right, and that theme comes up multiple times for T’Challa as well as others in this story.

I cannot get through this review without discussing Michael B. Jordan’s character, Killmonger a bit. As a half-Wakandan born and raised in Oakland, his story is so important to bring fresh perspective to T’Challa. While T’Challa and his Wakandan elders have lived well and free from persecution, Killmonger has seen first hand how rough the lives of most black people around the world. He wants to use Wakanda’s resources to arm persecuted people all over the world so they can rise up against their oppressors. His ideas are born out of hatred seeking revenge, a product of American racism and Wakandan abandonment. In the end, I love how T’Challa wants to help him but Killmonger knows better, “Why, so you can lock me up? Nah. Just bury me in the ocean with my ancestors who jumped from ships, ’cause they knew death was better than bondage.”

Visually, this film is phenomenal and I cannot get enough. While most films set in Africa focus on jungles, savannahs or rough dirt floor villages, Wakanda is far from that. There are glittering skyscrapers, flying vehicles, a levitating train system. And yet it’s not all chrome and bland, instead buildings are decorated in beautiful murals, some looking like graffiti. My favorite set is Shuri’s lab, bright and glowing chrome, with a wonderfully flowing layout, with African inspired decor winding down the walls. Even when things look primitive, like spears or cloaks, there’s hidden tech powered by Wakanda’s vibranium and it is so cool. All the costumes and sets are so wonderfully inspired and colorful, there are always new details to pick up.

Black Panther is currently nominated for seven Academy Awards. They include costume design, production design, sound editing, sound mixing, original score and original song for All the Stars. And most impressive and deserving of all, Black Panther is the first superhero movie ever nominated for Best Picture. I doubt Black Panther will sweep but I would love to see this movie win the big one.

With my four year old’s love for superheroes, I’ve let him watch most of Black Panther. I fast forward through gun fights and he asks me to skip the ritual combat scenes, yet he loves the car chase, as do I. He loves the first scene in Shuri’s lab and now calls his socks sneakers, while stomping quietly. But something amazing happened about halfway through watching Black Panther with my son. He looked at T’Challa and innocently said, “That black man looks like my friend from school.” He named the little black boy in his class specifically. Trying not to make a big deal of it, I said, “He kinda does, doesn’t he? It’s pretty cool that there are superheroes that look like your friends.” He answered, “Yeah, and we can all be super!” I love this! My little boy is showing me how important representation is in film! And I am so happy that there is a great, cool, fun, empowering superhero movie full of strong men and women of color for him to grow up on.

“I have seen gods fly. I have seen men build weapons that I couldn’t even imagine. I have seen aliens drop from the sky. But I have never seen anything like this. ”

Green Book

The title Green Book refers to an artifact that many never knew existed. Published until 1966,  The Negro Travelers’ Green Book served as a reference guide to find restaurants and lodging that would serve blacks, especially in the deep south. Tony Lip (Viggo Mortensen) and Dr. Don Shirley (Mahershala Ali) uses this guide book to accommodate Don on his tour through the deep south, where he will play as a guest of honor for some of the richest people in the world and yet be turned away to eat at the same dining room that he is expected to perform in.

This film works partially as a road trip movie and partially as an odd couple comedy and both of those journeys come to a happy end destination. Tony is a working-class Italian-American living in the Bronx with his wife and kids. Don is a world-class pianist who lives above Carnegie Hall like a royalty. When Tony is out of work, he is hired to be Don’s driver on his first tour across the American midwest and south. The two clash almost immediately, but Don has faith that Tony is the right man for the job. Through long roads, misadventures and some close calls, the two come to look past race and class to better understand one  another and become good friends.

While Tony is rough around the edges, volatile and racist at first, he ends up having a good heart under it all and really helping Don along their journey. Opposite Tony, Don is very cool, calm and a tough nut to crack. Even when in jail he is calm knowing that he did nothing wrong and the police have no cause to keep him locked up. His most vulnerable moments, at a bar and a YMCA, are most telling and heartbreaking. Thankfully, Tony is understanding and knows just how to diffuse the situations. Throughout the journey, the two really need and work well with each other. I especially love how Don helps Tony with his letters to his wife.

Some of the biggest laughs come from Tony’s hilariously sloppy appetite. We often see junk food and candy wrappers littered along the front seat beside Tony as he drives. We even see him win a hot dog eating bet and fold up a whole pizza to eat by himself! The scene just after they enter Kentucky and stop for Kentucky Fried Chicken is hilarious as he offers Don a piece. He refuses at first, complaining that Tony is getting grease on his blanket and confessing that he’s never had fried chicken. Tony keeps pestering him, while driving, until Don tries some, cautiously at first, then enjoying it in his much less messy manner. It’s a fun bonding moment for the pair, especially as they chuck their chicken bones out the window. The scene ends with Don still keeping control over Tony’s antics.

Green Book is nominated for five Academy Awards including film editing, original screenplay and Best Picture. Both Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali have been nominated or their outstanding performances, Mortensen for lead actor and Ali for supporting.

While I never expected Green Book to be anything great or monumental in this year’s Oscar race, it did do something no other film this year could. It gave me that genuinely happy, warm and fuzzy feeling. Very few Oscar caliber movies can do that. But Green Book, while dealing with themes of racism and class differences, is wonderfully sweet, engaging and funny. It’s so enjoyable to watch the beginning of a beautiful friendship.

“Trained? What are you, a seal? People love what you do! Anyone can sound like Beethoven or Joe Pan or them other guys you said. But your music, what you do? Only you can do that!”

Vice

When Vice came up as my brother and I were talking about this year’s Oscar race, he dismissed it. “What do I care about Dick Cheney? That was years ago and it’s just gonna be about how he shot that one guy in the face.” I had to laugh, but I told him he really should check it out. I know my brother isn’t the type to care about politics and wouldn’t want to see some dry biopic about an old man who was vice president when he was in high school, but Vice is far from dry.

Directed and written by Adam McKay, Vice carries a similar entertaining yet informative tone as his previously Oscar nominated film, The Big Short. The film is a biopic, in that it details Dick Cheney’s life, leading up to and in Washington D.C. with focus on his pushed boundaries and strong hold as vice president to a green and gullible W. Bush (Sam Rockwell). From the beginning of their marriage, his wife Lynne (Amy Adams) pushes him to succeed, rather than be a lineman in Wyoming with multiple DUIs. Instead, he channels that recklessness into systemically seizing power throughout his career. By the end, after multiple betrayals and heart attacks, he feels like a Darth Vader-esk villain complete with replacement parts, destroying his own daughter’s happiness and ominous music.

Christian Bale has been known for some extreme transformations for his movie roles and Vice is near the top. It’s said that Bale gained forty-five pounds, shaved his head and bleached his eyebrows to pull this look off. In the makeup Bale is nearly invisible and his voice only carries the disguise further. It is uncanny how much he looks like they Cheney I knew on the evening news. I expect this film to win best makeup. It’s a shame we won’t be able to see the well deserved award accepted during the broadcast.

There are so many odd and hilarious moments that happen throughout this film that only Adam McKay could pull off. While the narrator reminds us that we can only speculate how the Cheneys discussed running with Bush, they speculate hilariously letting Lynn and Dick spout some long winded Shakespearean bullshit while laying down sleep. Bale breaking the 4th wall as Cheney is a work of genius. And you won’t believe the grotesque connection between the narrator and Cheney. But my favorite is the fake ending in the middle of the film, that got huge laughs from the audience.

Vice is nominated for eight Academy Awards including makeup, original screenplay film editing and Best Picture. McKay has received his second nomination as director. And Bale received his fourth acting nomination, this time as lead actor. Amy Adams and Sam Rockwell are nominated in the supporting acting categories.

One of the funniest and most brilliant moments of this film happens in the credits, so don’t rush out. McKay realizes some may complain about how this film seems to have a liberal bias and takes a moment to address the three types of people who will be in the theater. It’s a great laugh to end on after so much doom and gloom.

“I can feel your incriminations and your judgment, and I am fine with that. You want to be loved? Go be a movie star.”

BlacKkKlansman

The first image in BlacKkKlansman is a familiar one for most film fans. It’s that iconic longshot in Gone with the Wind where Scarlett looks for a doctor among a sprawling rusty red-dirt field of wounded Confederate soldiers that pans out to show a tattered Confederate flag waving above them. It reminds us that many men fought and died to keep black men in bondage. As slaves. And to this day some try to keep it that way.

The film’s story, crazy enough, is based on a fact. It centers on Ron Stallworth (John David Washington), the Colorado Springs first black police officer. He and a small team work together to infiltrate a local KKK chapter. When initially making contact through an ad in the newspaper, Ron calls them up and uses his real name. A hilarious mistake in the moment. Obviously Ron cannot meet the members face to face, to he has fellow officer, Flip (Adam Driver) do that for him. Ron keeps making plans over the phone and Flip becomes Ron face-to-face. But the deeper they go the more dangerous it gets. When Ron and Flip learn of a possible threat to a local college’s black student union, shit gets personal and really real.

One of my favorite aspects of this film is that while it’s dealing with harsh racists ideals, it’s often comical, warm and inspirational. Seeing Ron talk on the phone with the head of the KKK, David Duke (Topher Grace), can be hysterical, especially seeing a black man end a conversation with, “God bless white America.” Ivanhoe (Paul Walter Hauser) is a hilarious personification of a slack-jawed racist idiot accidentally spilling details about the KKKs plans. The warmth comes from watching Ron’s budding relationship with Patrice (Laura Harrier), especially when they ask that all important question, “Shaft or Superfly?” And Kwame Ture’s speech scene has these amazing moments where we see the faces of the people listening, their black faces and afros shine against the black background like halos and it feels like they are hearing someone tell them to be proud to be black for the first time in their lives.

Adam Driver delivers a thoughtful and spectacular performance in this film, the best in his career so far, in my opinion. He’s a young Jewish police officer going undercover inside the KKK posing as Ron. It’s a lot of pressure, but he must remain cool. When he dismisses his Jewish heritage at first with Ron, it feels like self defense. But as he spends more and more time with Walter and the other KKK members, we can feel their constant hate rhetoric getting to him, especially when one accuses him of being Jewish. Driver performs this double life well and so convincingly, driving this film forward, even while Ron is running things in the background.

BlacKkKlansman is currently nominated for six Academy Awards including best adapted screenplay, film editing, original score and Best Picture. Spike Lee has received his first nomination for best director. And Adam Driver has earned his first Oscar nomination for best supporting actor.

A scene that I cannot get out of my head is when Flip/Ron is being initiated into the KKK, while down the street the black student union is listening to an elder’s story about a young man on trial. David Duke and the other white men perform their ceremony with reverence for what their doing and then celebrate by watching Birth of a Nation, a silent film often used and referenced by white supremacists. While we watch this, we hear the old black man’s story about how his friend was found guilty for a crime he didn’t commit, then dragged into the street, tortured, mutilated and burned. And everyone came to watch “like it was the fourth of July.” The juxtaposition between these two things happening at the same time is astounding and speaks volumes about the opposing experiences of African Americans vs white men.

I would warn people seeking this film out because of it’s Oscar nominated status to use discretion. This film is packed full of the most vile hate speech I’ve ever heard and it can get to you, or worse, you can become numb to it after a while. The hateful, ignorant, bigoted, asinine things Walter (Ryan Eggold) and his KKK buddies say are absolutely awful, to think that there are people who actually think and talk that way is sickening. But Lee reminds us at the end that those people are still around in a graphic and gripping way using footage from the events in Charlottesville from 2017. It’s not for the faint of heart.

My brother and I discussed this film over the phone and for both of us, that ending with the upside down american flag fading to black and white brought the theaters to an uncomfortable silence. That’s the power this film has, that Spike Lee wields like a master. He sees this country’s racism and isn’t afraid to stare it back hard in its ugly face and make us deal with it.

“If I am not for myself, who will be? If I am for myself alone, who am I? If not now, when? And if not you, who?”

Mary Poppins Returns

Set about 30 years after Poppins’ first visit with the Banks family, Mary Poppins Returns is another spoon full of sugar for a dark time in the Banks home. Michael (Ben Whishaw) is recently widowed with three young children, the family home and financial woes. His sister, Jane (Emily Mortimer) is an activist, much like their mother before her. And the three children, John, Anabel and Georgie, have had to grow up quickly since the loss of their mother. One day, as little Georgie is nearly carried off by a familiar kite, Mary Poppins (Emily Blunt) blows in to help and change their lives.

I always carry my doubts with sequels, but here they were quickly blown away and I was happily engrossed in this sweet, magical film. The musical numbers were wonderful, catchy and best of all the lyrics move the story forward and teach lessons. The animated sequence, which is some of the first hand drawn animation out of Disney in years, was so well done, both in overall tone and visual technique and style. And Lin-Manuel Miranda is a great replacement/counterpart for Dick Van Dyke (who does make an appearance). There’s an immeasurable amount of pressure to create a deserving sequel to Mary Poppins over fifty years later and the filmmakers here really stepped up to the plate and delivered something to be cherished for generations.

There’s so much to compare and contrast between this film and the original, I only have time to scrape the surface here. I’d say the situation within the Banks house this time is darker, sadder and is in even more need of Poppins than ever. And by contrast, the film is visually more striking and imaginative than before, mostly thanks to half a century of technological advances. Instead of introducing the kids to magic by cleaning up the playroom with a snap, they take a literal dive into their bathtub and go on a musical undersea adventure. Instead of jumping into a chalk drawing, they go into their mother’s beloved China bowl. Rather than visiting uncle Albert and having a tea party on the ceiling, they visit Cousin Topsy (Meryl Streep) and learn about seeing things from a new perspective. And instead of a friendly chimney sweep, Jack (Miranda) is a leerie And we meet plenty of his friends armed with bikes and ladders.

This is the perfect film to see with children, however I’d suggest showing them the original beforehand. My four year old son loved this movie and it kept his attention better than the original. The musical numbers were spaced out well to keep kids interested but not overstimulated. Sure, some of the more somber moments didn’t land with him as they did with me, but that’s to be expected. Children are more resilient than we think, whereas I was a silently weeping as Poppins sang The Place Where Lost Things Go to the children when they woke from a collective nightmare.

Sadly, The Academy didn’t give Mary Poppins Returns as much praise as I would have. The film was only nominated for four awards: production design, costume design, original score and original song (The Place Where Lost Things Go). While I was disappointed that Mary Poppins was not nominated for best picture, I can understand why. It’s a movie made with children and families in mind, which I think doesn’t catch They Academy’s attention as well. It isn’t a reflection of our time, which is something most of the nominees have going for them. And while I loved it, I can understand how this sequel can never live up to the wonderful original for some people.

A film as magical, endearing and yet grounding as Mary Poppins Returns is a rare treat. Maybe Poppins films can only come around every 50 years. It’s sweet, but not overly so. It’s uplifting and yet reminds us that the grown ups will forget all about the magic by tomorrow. Best of all, it reminds us about the magic we knew in childhood that gets pushed aside throughout life. It ignites that inside us and lifts us up, if only for a while. My kid described it best on the car ride home, “That was like real magic!” It sure was, kid.

“We’re on the brink of adventure, children. Don’t spoil it with too many questions.”